Tag Archives: sociodemographics

Build your Beer Brand and Business Internationally

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Before you send your beer outside your home country and build your brand and business internationally there are a few critical decisions you need to plan.  We will share those key decisions and discuss in more depth with 3 Australian craft breweries – Kaiju Beer, Prancing Pony and Hawkers Beer exporting around the world at the upcoming Australian Craft Brewers Conference in Adelaide on Thursday 27 July 2017 from 2pm – 2.45pm in the Kegstar Room.

Come and join us for Export – Triumphs and Tribulations and gather some usual insights and learning shared by Callum Reeves – Chief Boss @KaijuBeer; Corrina Steeb – CEO and Co-Founder @Prancing Pony; Mazen Hajjar – CEO and Co-Founder @Hawkers Beer and Ben Giles – Senior Trade Advisor at Austrade as you seek to export your beer, brand and business internationally.

  • Where to go? Before you venture off-shore and start shipping or brewing your beer in overseas lands you need to decide Where to go? Which market(s) are best suited to your product(s) in which order of priority? There are a myriad of factors and indicators you can use to help you come to this conclusion.  Unfortunately, in export and in small business too often we see “reactionary undirected spray and pray” approaches to export as opposed to “deliberate, considered, choice based strategic decision making” when it comes to the first fundamental question to answer: Where to go?  Working with many food and beverage clients and delivering capability courses on behalf of the Australian Government to food businesses across Australia we have narrowed the key factors to consider to 5 underneath which you can come up with some lead indicators to make a measured and objective decision on where to go? 1st, 2nd, 3rd… etc in terms of international business development:
  1. Socio-demographics – it is easy to get blinded by the newspaper headlines – like 3 billion middle class drinkers in Asia by 2030 (Rohde, 2012) but you need to dig past the headlines to see that middle class is defined as annual per capita expenditure between US$3,650 and US$36,500. Our work with premium quality food clients suggests you look past the simple population to define your target in terms of age, income and urbanisation and other socio-demographic indicators including penetration of high disposable income luxury chain retailers and/or disposable income for food and entertainment.
  2. Market Attractiveness – the obvious one – what do the numbers say? How much volume, value, cumulative annual growth and more importantly $/L are drinkers willing to spend on beer and other parallel world beverages (alcoholic or non-alcoholic). Some markets may appear huge on the surface in terms of consumption and volume e.g. China but you need to dig again below the surface to see that the average price of a domestically brewed draught beer of 500mL in China is 6.00 ¥ or A$1.15 per pint vs the average Imported Beer 33cl bottle 15.00 ¥ or A$2.88 per 330mL bottle or 250% more for 33% less beer and that is mainstream beer before we even get into craft beer pricing differentials compared to domestic and/or other imported craft beer brands.
  3. Open to Trade – Which markets are open? Importing and exporting a lot of beer around the world? You can dig for data in this space as well to use you head as well as your heart when you consider where you can relatively easily ship your beer in terms of foreign markets.  Common data sources available to mine in this space include ABS statistics for outbound Australian exports (follow the leader) or UN Comtrade for import / export data.  You need to be across your HS Codes and where possible use multiple data sources to triangulate the information.  Knowledge of Free Trade Agreements and where the tariffs are and where they are falling fast is also an important indicator of opportunity.
  4. Market Deterrents – You need to be aware of behind the border trade barriers or markets that have product registrations or stringent labeling guidelines like local language labeling and/or religious certification before port of entry. Some Asian markets have their own local equivalent of a Food & Drug Administration and require product registration before entry including: Thailand, the Philippines and Indonesia to name but a few.
  5. Dispersion – highly concentrated markets either in terms of supply side power of suppliers or retail side in terms of power of buyers are more difficult to penetrate for obvious reasons. Where you see a concentration of market share in a few strong local players or a concentration of market share on the retail side of the value chain you will need to factor in a higher % share of the value chain to the retailers.  Markets with retail duopolies or oligopolies that extract high retail margins not only include Australia but New Zealand, Singapore and Hong Kong as well.

  • How to enter? Once you have narrowed your choice of market(s) to enter to your top 1 or 2 or 3 in terms of order of priority and opportunity you are now able to head to the market and test your hypotheses and validate your assumptions on the right mode of market entry to successfully set up your brand and business in that host country. Depending on how deep your pockets are or the pockets of your investors and shareholders there are three key modes of market entry:
    1. Export the most common and lowest risk first entry mode of many small businesses you need to also take note of the different modes within export and the pros and cons of each entry mode from selling locally to an Australian Based Consolidator or using a local agent to using an in-market agency or selling to a local importer and distributor or direct to an end retail customer. Fundamental to your success in export will be partnering up with the perfect partner to help you implement you go to market launch plan and activate your brand in the host country. Some tips and guidance on how to objectively measure and evaluate a perfect partner for distribution are outlined in our Creatoblog – Looking for Love .  You would not marry someone sight unseen over the internet without meeting them, first would you? So, why would you ship your precious beer sight unseen to an inbound inquiry when you have not checked out the warehouse, distribution, sales and marketing capability of a potential importer in a foreign country?
    2. Contractual modes of market entry include two very common to the brewing industry – licensing and contract manufacturing. Brewing under licence is common for “large multinational brewers” and we might see more of this in craft in the future if craft beer drinkers start to base purchase decisions on factors like freshness and brewed locally for sustainability reasons.  While uncommon to date in craft beer there are some businesses already experimenting with this entry mode the most notable close to home example being Yeastie Boys brewed under licence in UK by Brew Dog and in Australia by Nomad.
    3. Investment is the preferred mode of market entry of the well-resourced large multinational enterprises in search of fast growth. Investment modes of entry include Joint Ventures, Strategic Alliances, Greenfield Investment and Merger & Acquisition.  Some recently publicised equity raisings in craft beer have indicated this mode of entry is under serious consideration for notable northern hemisphere craft brewers looking to more aggressively expand their businesses into the US, Australian and Asian Markets (Kamps, 2016 and The Drinks Association, 2017).

  • When to enter? Finally you need to allocate sufficient $/people/time to resource a go to market launch and activate and generate trial and repeat purchase for your beer in the new host country. You need to be strong at home before you head overseas as your Homebase will fund the early years of investment in your off-shore markets.  There are many ways to get your beer in the hands of drinkers and it is vital you resource your business with sufficient funds and people to support your brand during the vital Go to Market launch phase as the saying goes you only get one chance to make a first impression and there are many great craft beers out there!  Some innovative collaborative ways to activate and share the cost of activating your brand in foreign lands are evident in both craft beer and independent wine and worthy of a closer look:
    1. Brewers Association – Export Development Program (EDP) – set up by the Brewers Association in 2004 the EDP objectives include educating international trade and media about US craft beer diversity and informing BA EDP members about international opportunities based around a host of support activity from participation in trade shows, competitions, seminars, inbound buyer missions, export market research and promotion through international media.
    2. New Zealand Beer Collective – friends abroad the NZ Beer Collective is the collective pooling of resources of 5 Kiwi Craft Brewers to enter the UK market and make a bigger dent together than they can make individually pooling their resources to assist with trade activation and distribution. The members include 8 wired, Renaissance Brewery, Three Boys Brewery, Tuatara, and Yeastie Boys and the Collective was established in was formed in 2016 to act as exclusive importer, national distributor, brand management and sales of the New Zealand Beer Collective in the UK market.
    3. The Craft Beer Clan of Scotland – a collection of 35 Scottish Craft Breweries collectively marketed by J W Filshill Ltd, a wholesale business based in Glasgow and run by very experienced international liquor executives they market collectively their craft beers into fast growth craft beer markets like North East and South-East Asia.
    4. Margaret River Wines – 14 winemakers, ranging from some of the region’s smallest to biggest, are stocking their product in four stores branded “Margaret River Wines” in China. And there are plans afoot to open another six by year’s end, and up to 300 within three years (Pancia, 2017). Teaming up they can directly distribute and educate the Chinese wine drinkers on the premium value and position of “Margaret River Wines”.

Exporting can be a great way to diversify your business, reduce risk and increase scale and economies of production in your brewery at home, not to mention the brand equity and business value you can create abroad if you do it well. Come along to the Australian Craft Brewers Conference in Adelaide on Thursday 27th July 2017, and join us in the Kegstar Room for Export – Triumphs and Tribulations with shared experiences from three Australian craft brewers who are already exporting and be informed of the Government support and assistance available to you from Austrade.

Bibliography and References:

Australian Government (2017) DFAT https://ftaportal.dfat.gov.au/ Free Trade Portal viewed on 11/07/2017.

Austrade (2017) What is EMDG? https://www.austrade.gov.au/Australian/Export/Export-Grants/About/what-is-emdg viewed on 02/07/2017

Australian Brews News (2016) Yeastie Boys announces Sydney venture http://www.brewsnews.com.au/2016/11/yeastie-boys-announces-sydney-venture/ November 14, viewed on 02/072017.

Australian Bureau of Statistics (2017) International Trade http://www.abs.gov.au/International-Trade

Beertown NZ (2016) Yeastie Boys’ future is in the UK http://beertown.nz/wellington/273-yeastie-boys-future-is-in-the-uk Mon, 12 Sep. Viewed on 02/07/2017

Brewers Association (2004) Export Development Program https://www.brewersassociation.org/business-tools/exporting-beer/join-the-edp/ viewed on 02/07/2017.

Cost of Living in China  https://www.numbeo.com/cost-of-living/country_result.jsp?country=China

Creatovate (2014) Take your business off the Road to Nowhere into Lands of Opportunity https://creatovate.wordpress.com/2014/07/23/take-your-business-off-the-road-to-nowhere-into-lands-of-opportunity/ July 23.

Creatovate (2014) How to enter new markets…Export https://creatovate.wordpress.com/2014/10/09/how-to-enter-new-marketsexport/ Oct 9.

Creatovate (2014) Looking for Love? Partnering for growth internationally https://creatovate.wordpress.com/2014/06/19/looking-for-love-partnering-for-growth-internationally/ June, 19.

Creatovate (2014) How to enter new markets…Contractual Modes of Entry https://creatovate.wordpress.com/2014/11/19/how-to-enter-new-markets-contractual-modes-of-entry/ November 19.

Creatovate (2014) How to enter new markets…Investment modes of entry https://creatovate.wordpress.com/2014/12/04/how-to-enter-new-marketsinvestment-modes-of-entry/ December 4.

Chloe Fraser (2017) First Margaret River wine store opens in China https://thewest.com.au/news/busselton-dunsborough-times/first-margaret-river-wine-store-opens-in-china-ng-b88460098z Fri 28 April. Viewed on 02/07/2017.

Haje Jan Kamps (2016) BrewDog brewery raising $50M from the crowd to secure U.S. expansion https://techcrunch.com/2016/08/04/brewdog-equity-crowd/ August 4, viewed on 02/07/2017.

Anthony Pancia (2017) Margaret River wine producers see big future in exports to China as demand grows http://www.abc.net.au/news/2017-05-12/margaret-river-wine-producers-see-big-future-in-exports-to-china/8519932, May 12, viewed on 02/07/2017.

David Rohde (2012) THE SWELLING MIDDLE, Davos, http://www.reuters.com/middle-class-infographic retrieved on 2/07/2017.

Efic (2017) About Efic https://www.efic.gov.au/about-efic/

Food Innovation Australia Ltd (FIAL, 2017) Export Development Program https://fial.com.au/export-market-activity viewed on 02/07/2047.

The Drinks Association (2017) BrewDog announces plans to build Australian craft brewery http://www.drinkscentral.com.au/4751?Article=brewdog-to-open-australian-brewery April 12, viewed on 02/072017.

UN Comtrade (2017) https://comtrade.un.org/ viewed on 02/07/2017


Take your business off the Road to Nowhere into Lands of Opportunity

Road to Nowhere
How to use Upfront Strategic Thinking to Drive Profitable International Business Growth

Authors: Dermott Dowling @Creatovate & Kevin O’Reilly @Radar Insight

Five Factors to consider with your head, before following your heart into international markets.

International Business market choice is often based on ‘gut instinct’ decision making, retrofitted later with logic that backs up your initial assumptions. This can lead to costly mistakes and valuable scarce resource waste when wrong choices are made.
How do most businesses find themselves offshore? In one word: Dragged, and usually the result of a direct approach from either existing customers or a potential overseas trade partner. We believe one of the 3 keys to successful international business is use of deliberate, upfront rigorous strategic thinking, planning and risk analysis before deciding “Where to Go” first, second or third as you take your business offshore.
We know that any business growth journey starts with defining the challenge and mapping a journey before you set sail. That is why we are championing a new approach to driving profitable expansion into international markets. Following the 5 key factors outlined in this report have helped and will continue to help our clients use ‘more head and a little less heart’ initially in their market choice decision making.
This report outlines the data and decisions required to understand the five factors at play. We were able to build the Creatovate Market Opportunity Index© decision tool through our work with our clients, and wanted to share our learning with the business community.

Partnering with a consumer goods client, we undertook the challenge to help facilitate their Asian export strategy in terms of decision making “Where to go? First, Second, Third, etc” using a pure data approach, before we facilitated and encouraged the overlay of their own subjective lens and ‘gut instinct’. This mix of slow and fast thinking is vital to getting a balanced and aligned strategic choice on ‘Where to go?’ Our goal was to rank countries analysed based on their performance across 5 key factors (each broken into client specific indicators or markers. Using independent research data, extrapolated across attractiveness rating scales we were able to compare and contrast the opportunity presented by targeting China (huge population, low average wage, less international brands on shelf) to that of Singapore (geographically closer, smaller population, higher disposable income, free trade, etc).
This report will walk you through that thinking process, step by step. We hope you will see similarities to your own international business challenge and see opportunity to utilise or adapt the learning to your own context and International Business growth challenge.

Factor 1: Market Attractiveness

country attractiveness

The most common starting ground for any business looking at which overseas country to sell their products and services is going to be the usual market research sourced through global data services providers like Euromonitor, Marketline, Nielsen, Canadean, etc. You could populate the indicators under Market Attractiveness with literally dozens of sub indicators but in the interests of clarity and not confusion we picked 5 key sub indicators to give us a sense of absolute size of market opportunity and attractiveness in terms of market growth. It has been noted before you are often better to enter a small but fast growing market as opposed to a large and static one.
I. Volume – what is the absolute volume of your business products/services sold in the country?
II. Value – what is the absolute value of the market in terms of retail sales for category?
III. $/Kg or $/L – this is an important measure for a consumer goods product especially for Australian consumer goods manufacturers. In our case our lenses were focus on Asia and it was important we identified markets that had high enough retail prices per Kg or L of product sold to justify a high cost of goods Australian made food so there is sufficient margin in the value chain for all participants.
IV. Consumption per capita – are we looking at a market with a ready and available appetite for your food or beverage or a market that is currently no/low consumption and will require education as to the products benefits from consumption?
V. CAGR or cumulative aggregate growth rates – in our case we took a CAGR average of the past 4 years market value growth rate to determine if there was a rising tide that would float all boats including new market entrants or a static or even worse in decline market opportunity.

Factor 2: Sociodemographics

sociodemographics

Population and demographic information is vitally important in your decision making on which markets to focus on when considering international business. China might be a great market opportunity from a first glance at the absolute population and yet further probing and understanding of sub-indicator factors like the one child policy and an aging population vs. say India by comparison might suggest it is more attractive to the cruise line business than say children’s food products. In our case we were conscious to also look at ability to pay and buy premium imported foods in our markets under study. For this reason we included other sub indicators to give a more rounded view on the absolute numbers of mouths and pockets that can afford our clients products.
I. Population – absolute numbers are hard to ignore but feel free to use filters over the core consumer target age group for your business products or services.
II. PPP per capita – widely regarded as a better and fairer indicator or relative wealth by a nation than the more tradition GDP per capita this is again a fast indicator for overall wealth.
III. Disposable income per capita – we were fortunate to be working with a data set that included this level of detail which helps in the sense of what available funds do consumers in the country have to spend outside their daily necessities to live?
IV. Food expenditure per capita – a key indicator in our client project as they are selling food is the amount spent per household or able to be spent on weekly food purchases. This sub-indicator could be adapted to your own business category of products or services.

Factor 3: Open to trade

international_trade

Our client first consideration was immediate opportunity to export/import their products into the region of study. As such a key factor for us was the local markets or countries openness and willingness to trade with the country of origin – in our case Australia. Our focus needed to search and discover data from international and domestic data sources on volumes of international trade and imports in the food category (open to trade), volumes of the category currently exported into the region and to what countries (follow the leader) and last but not least any visible or unforeseen barriers to entry. This factor became complex rather quickly requiring a mix of sub indicators that contributed to an overall factor score in terms of attractiveness.
I. Volume of Imports – MT, $/Kg and $m – this was the sub-indicator of the country openness and scale of trade both in absolute volume, value and $ per weight/volume measure.
II. Volume of Exports – sourcing data from the local industry association we were able to determine the absolute volume of the client’s category of products exported to each country in the region. This is a ready sub-indicator to open to Austrade in the sense open acceptance of imported goods from Australia in those countries.
III. Barriers to Entry – a mix of quantitative and qualitative judgements or indicators we utilise the apparent barriers like Tariffs, Quota restrictions, and some ‘behind the border’ barriers like Product registration requirements and estimated time to register or local labelling laws.

Factor 4: Dispersion

dispersion

Working in the Fast Moving Consumer Packaged Goods industry where the majority of products sold are through retailers and increasing modern retailers like supermarkets, hypermarkets and convenience stores it was important we believed to include some country analysis and understanding on concentration of power of buyers (retailers), suppliers (local manufacturers) and penetration of private label products in that country. For this reason we used 3 key sub-indicators to get a sense of dispersion in the country which would suggest competition is less intense and more room for a new entrant vs. highly concentrated and difficult to penetrate the new market.
I. Concentration of Retailers – what is the combined market share of the top 5 retailers? In markets like Australia where we have a highly concentrated retail landscape with two retailers dominating 70% of available market share the trading terms and margin requirements with those retailers is understandably high relative to a highly dispersed retail market.
II. Private Label Penetration – if Private Label has penetrated the category and to a high % of total category share the correlating thinking is that there will be less willingness by customers to range new lines/brands/products in the category as they concentrate on incumbent market leaders and building their own exclusive or private label brands.
III. Concentration of Manufacturers – what is the combined market share of the top 5 local food manufacturers in the category you have entered? If that market share is high there will be higher profitability with those manufacturers and a willingness to go above and beyond to stop new entrants getting a food hold in their category.

Factor 5: Innovation Intensity

innovation intensity

Factor number 5 we wanted to check was the relative level of innovation intensity in the country and category under examination. Whilst a higher level of innovation intensity would indicate consumer and customer willingness to trial new products and brands it might also suggest a higher level of competitive intensity and greater need for our client to continuously refresh their product offer both at home and off-shore. We selected three sub-indicators here to give us an overall sense and impression of which markets are open to new ideas, products, allow functional or nutritional health claims for foods and what % of total turnover in their country and category is from New Products launched in the past 3 years.
I. New Products launched in the past 3 years as a % of total value of sales in the category
II. Claims permissible – in your category space. Are the claims you can make on your products at home where they are successful allowed in the new country you are about to enter?
III. Health claims premium – if you are selling products that make beneficial health or functional claims how much of a price premium are similarly claiming products getting in the market under study?
Working through the above 5 factors and their 3-5 sub indicators across a mix of independent data sources enabled us and our clients to take a step back unbiased independent look at the region and rank the markets. We also developed a subjective scorecard that could be used to align key leaders in the client business around discussing which markets will be a focus for entry in the short, medium and longer term horizons so that preparation, planning and time critical steps could be taken across the board to manage a phased approach to international business growth. Heart is good and if the Head matches up with the heart or the slow thinking matches the fast thinking gut reaction you know you are onto a winner and ready to take that next step forward to answer our next question: “How to enter?” the new market and what market entry model to use? More on that front in our next post. We trust this critical thinking approach to the Where? Question will give you some data and knowledge to think about in your context and the ability to turn that learning into wisdom. Please do not hesitate to get in touch with us if you would like to do something similar or different relevant to your context and challenge as you create, innovate and grow your business internationally.

About the Authors:

Dermott Dowling is founding Director @Creatovate, Innovation & International Business consultancy. Creatovate help businesses create innovate and grow through innovation and spreading their wings outside their home base. Contact Dermott if you and your business needs help improving your innovation processes or expanding your business internationally.

Kevin O’Reilly launched Radar Insight after seeing too many products launch without the insight or clarity required to be successful. Contact Kevin to hear how consumer research & product evaluation can help tailor your product to your target market.

 


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